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After his awful first season in the N.F.L., it was somewhat reasonable to wonder if Jared Goff was a franchise quarterback or if he had simply been.


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Rams coach Sean McVay will undoubtedly tweak some of the offensive hallmarks that defined his first two Rams teams, possibly with fewer three-.


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Welcome to Pickwatch, the home of NFL expert picks. We track all the experts from ESPN, CBS, Profootballfocus and more and compare them for accuracy!


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NFL Picks Week 1: Chris Simms' Game-by-Game Picks So is former first-round pick Breshad Perriman, who figured to be a deep threat before missing his.


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Rams coach Sean McVay will undoubtedly tweak some of the offensive hallmarks that defined his first two Rams teams, possibly with fewer three-.


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Expert NFL picks and predictions from artorama.ru


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There will be surprises. Always are in this league, especially in Week 1. Five underdogs won outright in the first week of the NFL season, including the.


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Expert NFL picks and predictions from artorama.ru


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artorama.ru utilizes its football simulation to predict the outcome for this week's games. Each game is simulated times to generate an average score and.


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nfl 1st week picks

That leaves Gagnon under the impression this'll be close, and the reality is that any Week 1 game involving this much "mystery" is a risky play. Plus, he won't have top receiver Alshon Jeffery, who caught three touchdown passes from Foles in the last two games of the postseason. I like Garoppolo, but he doesn't have enough weapons, and he could be in trouble now that opposing defensive coordinators have taken plenty of time to watch his tape from December. Hilton more than he does Andy Dalton and A. Chicago has been smoked in three of its last four games at Lambeau Field, but Gagnon is ready to tell anyone who will listen that these aren't your big brother's Bears. Watson was tearing it up and had emerged as an MVP candidate before suffering a season-ending knee injury in November, but he's back now, and so is Watt. Peterman has since shown signs of progress, but he's a bridge quarterback with a clear-cut ceiling, and the Ravens are a hell of a challenge out of the gate. They didn't win any games last season, but they appear ready to compete—especially at home and against a team that looks like it'll be without one of its top players for the opener. With McCaffrey primed to break out coming off a sensational summer, our experts unanimously picked the Panthers to beat the Dallas Cowboys by at least three points in Week 1. That's a risky pick simply because the Chargers often feel perma-snakebitten, and they've lost each of their last eight meetings with Kansas City. Despite all that is up in the air, there's still a unanimous consensus among our analysts that Houston will put up a fight against the defending AFC champions. Naturally, nobody knows what to expect from the youngest Week 1 starter in modern NFL history, which is why the opposing Detroit Lions are no-doubter favorites at home.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Davenport might not be ready to buy the new-look Chicago Bears, at least against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers on the road, but Gagnon and Sobleski feel Chicago can keep things close Sunday night against its mighty division rival. And although they cooled off a little bit as injuries took their toll down the stretch, they still finished with the year with the sixth-fewest points allowed in the NFL. With Case Keenum starting at quarterback alongside rookie running back Royce Freeman on one side of the ball and Defensive Rookie of the Year favorite Bradley Chubb debuting on the other side of the ball, n ew-look Denver is giving Seattle three points. Against a Steelers team without their star tailback potentially , and without linebacker Ryan Shazier, an improved Browns team has a real chance at winning this game outright and knocking off the Steelers at home. After all, they won each of their final five games with Jimmy G under center last season. So good luck this week if you're one of many Americans placing legal bets on NFL football for the first time ever. Predictions Davenport: New Orleans The Niners certainly look like potential contenders with new franchise quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo coming off his first offseason with the team. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Always are in this league, especially in Week 1. That doesn't matter to Davenport, who dissented by picking the Chiefs to cover as three-point road underdogs in Los Angeles. Divisional games are always tricky, especially in Week 1. But this might again be a case of wrong place, wrong time, because the Vikings look primed for a huge season with veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins joining the fray. The Falcons didn't perform particularly well in the preseason either, but they're healthy, they're dealing with less pressure, and they should be over their Super Bowl hangover just as Philly's is at its peak. That is arguably the case again now, but for once, the Jags are the known commodity and the Giants are the mystery. The Cardinals are the safer pick with both Bradford and All-Pro running back David Johnson healthy for their home opener, but you can't blame Sobleski for siding with Smith and Co. It wasn't necessarily an easy decision, because Davenport, Gagnon and Sobleski are well aware that the Panthers seem to excel in odd-numbered seasons 12 wins in , 15 in and 11 in while struggling in even-numbered campaigns seven wins in , seven in and six in They're also aware that the Cowboys went on the road last season and probably would have been better than overall had star running back Ezekiel Elliott not served a six-game suspension midway through the year. The last game Bradford started and finished with the Vikings was arguably the best outing of his career, but that came way back in Week 1 of the season. And in any event, I'm no longer comfortable laying four points on the road. Our analysts were essentially picking a straight-up winner in a toss-up between two NFC teams with low expectations. They recorded 10 takeaways and eight sacks in those two games. Since then, Cleveland has become significantly stronger with the additions of quarterback Tyrod Taylor, wide receiver Jarvis Landry, running back Carlos Hyde and fourth overall pick Denzel Ward at cornerback. Watson relies heavily on his legs and is just 10 months removed from major knee surgery, while Watt has missed all but eight games the last two seasons. But on the other side of the coin, Gagnon is sticking with the Bolts regardless of line movement. But the Bolts have become slightly larger favorites at plenty of books, with the line moving closer to four. Our experts are a tad surprised that the Baltimore Ravens are mere seven-point favorites for their Week 1 home matchup with the Buffalo Bills, because it appears Buffalo is throwing second-year quarterback Nathan Peterman to the wolves. Philly won't have franchise quarterback Carson Wentz. Swimming with the fishes. The Carolina Panthers won each of their last five home games last year, a streak that essentially coincided with the late-season emergence of rookie running back Christian McCaffrey. Vegas doesn't appear to be confident in either the Tennessee Titans or Miami Dolphins this week, probably because Tennessee won just three regular-season road games last season, while four of Miami's six wins came at home. And although the Seahawks could be a mess on defense, Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has the ability to be a difference-maker in a game like this. It doesn't always mean much—the Cleveland Browns put up a fight against the Pittsburgh Steelers but lost and haven't won since, while the Oakland Raiders dominated the Tennessee Titans before slumping the rest of the year —but it's certainly a weekend to expect the unexpected. The increasingly strong New Orleans defense surrendered just 10 points in the team's last meeting with Tampa Bay at the Superdome, with Fitzpatrick also serving as the Bucs' primary quarterback after relieving an injured Winston in that affair. In many cases, how you bet will depend on the line you get. MVP quarterback Tom Brady and superstar tight end Rob Gronkowski are back after weird springs, but the same can't be said for stalwart left tackle Nate Solder, flashy back Dion Lewis, accomplished cornerback Malcolm Butler and veteran wideouts Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola, all of whom are gone. Until Prescott can prove that was an anomaly and show that he's able to excel without center Travis Frederick, it'll be hard to justify picking the Cowboys to hang with playoff-caliber teams on the road. Green , especially in Indianapolis, but he also believes this'll be a field-goal game between two teams desperate to start off on the right foot. Fortunately, Cincinnati faces the Colts and their soft defense to open the season. And on top of that, they'll be without top receiver Julian Edelman as he serves a four-game suspension to start the regular season. The Texans won just four games last season, but that surely wouldn't have been the case had quarterback Deshaun Watson and defensive end J. For what it's worth, he struggled in the preseason. The Bengals' issues up front will have far less of an impact against a defensive front that lacks legitimate pass-rushers. But a healthy Texans team has the weapons on offense and defense to keep things close enough that laying almost a touchdown just became a bit too rich for my blood. If they are but they still lose, there's a good chance the Bears fall by a touchdown or less. The question is how effective both of those players will be. Meanwhile, the Cards are using the oft-injured Sam Bradford while first-round rookie Josh Rosen marinates. Road teams are in Thursday night Week 1 kickoff games, which might explain why the Philadelphia Eagles remain small favorites for their Week 1 matchup with the Atlanta Falcons. Despite all the buzz, Gagnon doesn't believe San Francisco is in Minnesota's league. And our experts recognize that, which is why they've unanimously picked the Falcons to cover a two-point spread in what should be a closely contested game between the NFC's last two Super Bowl representatives. Davenport and Sobleski don't see it that way, with the latter giving the Bengals a shot to win outright based on the X's and O's. They'll be in this thing in crunch time. Need help? But home-field advantage matters, and Panthers quarterback Cam Newton probably has more in him than Dallas signal-caller Dak Prescott, who is trying to fight off a horrendous sophomore slump. Don't forget that Tannehill is back, and that the Titans allowed more points than they scored despite reaching the second round of the playoffs in That's not exactly a huge limb, but it's fair to feel the need to wait before betting big on or against either of these teams in Predictions Davenport: Tennessee In another AFC matchup that is arguably a toss-up depending on what happens with a franchise quarterback returning from a major injury, the Indianapolis Colts are favored by a field goal at home against a Cincinnati Bengals team that is also trying to get back into the playoff picture in Gagnon is riding the Colts because he trusts Andrew Luck and T. And if that's the case, they'll walk away with a moral victory while Gagnon and Sobleski walk away with ATS victories. But all three of our experts are still on board with the Seahawks in their opener against the favored Denver Broncos on the road. Keep in mind quarterback Ryan Tannehill is healthy for the first time since December None of our experts believe Tannehill's presence will be enough to give the Dolphins a small upset victory in South Florida, but Gagnon doesn't see the Titans pulling away either. Predictions Davenport: Green Bay No rookie quarterbacks will start on Sunday, but on Monday night, Sam Darnold of the New York Jets will become the 21st rookie signal-caller in the last decade to get the nod in the first week of his first NFL season. Wrong place, wrong time for Tampa Bay. But this is tricky, because only three of the last six prime-time kickoff games have been won by the defending champion the New England Patriots were crushed after raising their banner at home last year , and the Eagles look somewhat vulnerable entering their first-ever regular season as defending Super Bowl champs. What makes this one tricky is both teams feature new quarterbacks who were once No. The Buffalo defense might have to do some heavy lifting for the Bills to keep this close, but Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco has experienced a superb offseason, and he's got more support now than he's had in years. They have a new head coach, new offensive and defensive play-callers, new schemes, entirely new offensive line, new running back, new defensive end, two new starting linebackers and new free safety. The Chargers are due for a breakout season, and they should cause trouble for Mahomes with Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram up front and plenty of talent in the secondary. Throw in that Garoppolo recently lost projected No. And while nobody expects a blowout here, it helps that these picks were made before superstar Seahawks safety Earl Thomas ended his summer-long holdout on Wednesday afternoon. It's dead. Without making any guarantees in other words, don't send us invoices for your losses , we've tasked Bleacher Report NFL analysts Gary Davenport , Brad Gagnon and Brent Sobleski with picking every game this season, against the spread. Washington's Alex Smith was the league's highest-rated passer with the Chiefs last season, but the Redskins offense doesn't have as many weapons, and it's possible that was an aberrational campaign it was also an uneven one. Led by a new regime and coaching staff and featuring a retooled offensive line and running game, the Giants could be better than they were when they won double-digit games and made the playoffs in , or as bad as they were when they lost 13 games in a campaign that exemplified Murphy's law. For years, Jacksonville Jaguars-New York Giants games were meetings between a mystery and a known commodity. Both Davenport and Gagnon think New Orleans will walk away with a double-digit victory over a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that is starting backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick in place of the suspended Jameis Winston. Pittsburgh has won six consecutive meetings with Cleveland, but it beat the Browns by only a field goal when the two teams met in Week 1 last season. The New Orleans Saints are the biggest favorites of Week 1, but that 9. The Bucs did beat the Saints in the regular-season finale albeit at home , and Tampa Bay has scored 60 points in back-to-back season-opening victories. Three points might seem low for a matchup between a consensus Super Bowl contender and a team coming off a three-win season, but the Jags have lost their last three regular-season road games, and the Giants have the more accomplished quarterback. Watt been healthy. But it's entirely possible the law of averages will give them a break at home against an opponent that is using a green quarterback and might not have star safety Eric Berry. The Jaguars envision a Super Bowl run, while the Giants have no clue who they are. But this isn't a unanimous pick, and Sobleski's prediction that this'll be a close game should give you caution. Remember that legendary defense that helped the Seattle Seahawks get to back-to-back Super Bowls earlier this decade?